All Terrorism is Local? A Quantitative Analysis of Al Qaeda Affiliation and Rebel Group Behavior

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Paper examines the effects of affiliation, focusing on Al Qaeda, on the behavior of rebel groups.

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42 p.: ill.

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Robbins, Arianna 2014.

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This article is part of the collection entitled: The Eagle Feather and was provided by the UNT Honors College to the UNT Digital Library, a digital repository hosted by the UNT Libraries. It has been viewed 78 times. More information about this article can be viewed below.

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Paper examines the effects of affiliation, focusing on Al Qaeda, on the behavior of rebel groups.

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42 p.: ill.

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Abstract: Scholarship on Al Qaeda affiliates (AQAs) has focused largely on these groups’ lethality or relationship to Al Qaeda’s transnational structure. This study addresses the queries: Are AQAs “hijacked” by Al Qaeda’s transnational jihadist ideology, becoming mere franchises in “Al Qaeda, Inc?” Or are they “hijacking” the Al Qaeda brand, using the benefits it provides to fuel their local struggles? This paper quantitatively examines the effects of a group’s affiliation on a group’s behavior. As over 96 percent of AQA attacks from 1976-2012 occurred in civil war contexts, AQAs are best characterized as rebel groups in civil wars that use terrorism as a strategy to achieve largely parochial political goals. Chi-squared and difference in proportions tests are conducted to determine the relationships between Al Qaeda affiliates, rebel groups, and civil war. An original map overlaying AQA attacks on civil war zones integrates these concepts using ArcGIS software. There is strong evidence that civil war context is a strong indicator of AQA behavior, while actual Al Qaeda affiliation is not. This supports the characterization of AQAs as rebel groups.

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  • Eagle Feather, Issue 11, University of North Texas Honors College: Denton, Texas. 2014

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  • Publication Title: Eagle Feather
  • Volume: 11
  • Issue: 2014
  • Peer Reviewed: Yes

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The Eagle Feather

Launched in 2004 by UNT's Honors College, The Eagle Feather was an interdisciplinary undergraduate research journal that promoted the work of students and their faculty mentors. The Eagle Feather was published annually until 2017 when it transitioned into the North Texas Journal of Undergraduate Research.

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UNT Undergraduate Student Works

This collection presents scholarly and artistic content created by undergraduate students. All materials have been previously accepted by a professional organization or approved by a faculty mentor. Most classroom assignments are not eligible for inclusion. The collection includes, but is not limited to Honors College theses, thesis supplemental files, professional presentations, articles, and posters. Some items in this collection are restricted to use by the UNT community.

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  • 2014

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  • March 9, 2020, 6:45 p.m.

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  • April 14, 2020, 6:13 p.m.

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Robbins, Arianna. All Terrorism is Local? A Quantitative Analysis of Al Qaeda Affiliation and Rebel Group Behavior, article, 2014; Denton, Texas. (https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc1624995/: accessed May 24, 2024), University of North Texas Libraries, UNT Digital Library, https://digital.library.unt.edu; crediting UNT Honors College.

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